The United States of America has been adamant about the success it will have by defeating the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria and returning the Middle East to a stable footing. Some say they are delusional, and I am one of those. Can Middle East return to a normalcy they have not had in decades? Actually, it depends on who defines ‘normalcy’.
The US has placed many of its apples in the basket of the Iraqi Army and those of the so-called “moderate rebels”, whom they will train and supply to use them as the hammer against Islamic extremism. Plus, this approach is being heralded by many American Neocons as the way of the future and the only chance to success without using US troops on the ground doing the fighting.
Yet, there happens to be a wrinkle in this plan…
It’s not going nearly so well as they say, of course. A training operation that was supposed to begin at the start of the year, then was set in stone as early March still hasn’t begun, and promises of getting it going by May seem tentative, at best.
The Pentagon has only identified a small fraction of the 5,000 rebels they intend to produce over the next three years. It’s unclear how many of those are even able to be vetted as sufficiently pro-US to subsidize. (ABC)
There are very few in the world of international relations that think this isn’t a go to plan. They say that even if the United States can find and train these fighters, once they return to Syria they will be almost certainly routed by the self-styled caliphate. Factions within factions are likely to destroy any cohesion to maintain a plan. As for the training, what is its type? Military is good but that alone will do nothing to form a stable government (and, without the above, normalcy is just little more than a slogan). Therefore, Washington is putting all its apples in a basket that simply does not exist, the basket of the “moderate rebels”.
All that their plan is doing is prolonging the fighting, as they cannot make hard fighters ‘cold’ just by spending cash. There must be evidently something more. This situation will go on for many years and all that will be accomplished is the wasting of money and lives.
The first problem they need to solve is who are the ‘bad guys’ and who are the ‘good guys’. Just because a group wins a battle here or there does not make them part of the latter category. Then comes the cash: will it be used for what it is intended or will it be used to buy favors?
Then is the unspoken fact that in recent years, during which the US have been training a number of fighting forces all over the world, little has been effectively accomplished. Take Libya of the 1980’s: Colonel Khalifa Belqasim Haftar had been abandoned by Muammar Gaddafi in Chad and was recruited by the Central Intelligence Agency to head a force in opposition to Gaddafi. He and his men received money and training and were never used until the recent uprising in the North African country.
Afghanistan is another prime example of money wasted, given that, after over a decade of training and money, the Afghan forces are still not capable of acting on their own with any measure of success.
America’s track record on schooling armed forces in order to combat terrorism is abysmal, the failure rate is well-known by those in the Department of State and yet they refuse to change the program to a winning strategy.
The truth may be that the USA is still trying to employ a tactic used during the Cold War to counter the spread of Soviet influence. However, today that is a technique that can’t work against a group that improvises and does not depend on standard tactics.
Washington and its proxies are creating a catch-22, and that is never a good thing. American interventions have accomplished roughly nothing so far, consequently it would be irrational to do them again. Nevertheless, the White House continues down the same path, nation after nation.
I believe that it was Prof. Albert Einstein that once said: “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expect a different outcome”. If that is the case, then the US Government has to be truly insane.